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International tourist arrivals up 6% to 1.4 bn in 2018: UNWTO

According to an estimate published by the World Tourism Organization, the number of international tourist arrivals rose by 6 per cent last year to 1.4 billion.

The increase was driven by travel to southern Europe, the Middle East and Africa, said the report, citing economic growth and cheaper air travel as key factors.

Although arrivals to the Americas grew by a modest three per cent – four for North America – Europe, Africa and Asia-Pacific performed better, with rises of six, seven and six per cent respectively.

In 2010, the WTO had forecast that international tourist arrivals would only hit the 1.4 billion mark in 2020 – but it now said that stronger economic growth, more affordable air travel and an easier visa regime around the world had helped boost the market.

“The growth of tourism in recent years confirms that the sector is today one of the most powerful drivers of economic growth and development,” said WTO secretary-general Zurab Pololikashvili, in a statement.

Total arrivals to Europe were 713 million but WTO noted that arrivals in northern Europe were flat last year, citing uncertainty over Britain’s impending exit from the European Union.

Africa welcomed 67 million visitors in total, saw the north of the continent register 10 per cent growth in arrivals staying at least overnight. Sub-Saharan arrivals were up six per cent and the Middle Eastern arrivals rose 10 per cent to 64 million.

The Caribbean suffered a drop of 2.0 per cent in arrivals as it continued to feel the effects of the September 2017 hurricanes Maria and Irma. The storms caused catastrophic damage in tourist hotspots such as Barbuda, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

The WTO predicted a global overall increase of between three and four percent for the current year, broadly in line with historical trends. Stable fuel prices would “translate into affordable air travel while air connectivity continues to improve in many destinations”, it predicted.

Outbound tourism from emerging markets, “especially India and Russia”, but also from smaller Asian and Arab markets is expected to continue to grow strongly, it added.

But at the same time the WTO warned that uncertainty related to Brexit “as well as geopolitical and trade tensions may prompt a ‘wait and see’ attitude among investors and travellers”.